Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.088033 3.564960 4.087696 4.702704 5.406034 6.184831 7.112189
2025-02-09 2.416232 3.038930 3.778161 4.718737 5.881982 7.271747 9.056564
2025-02-16 1.942489 2.634578 3.515790 4.716330 6.305358 8.332284 11.109652
2025-02-23 1.544725 2.243735 3.192004 4.565941 6.498475 9.111634 12.904107
2025-03-02 1.224802 1.894624 2.857571 4.333298 6.526646 9.652735 14.430115
2025-03-09 1.044087 1.710036 2.719012 4.345490 6.885457 10.679789 16.751185
2025-03-16 0.872759 1.508275 2.519686 4.228922 7.023732 11.384495 18.664712
2025-03-23 0.803874 1.458020 2.546074 4.464187 7.731749 13.031074 22.216950
2025-03-30 0.729311 1.384811 2.521612 4.607112 8.299315 14.508044 25.654698
2025-04-06 0.645678 1.281311 2.428759 4.615652 8.632316 15.623312 28.599454
2025-04-13 0.542315 1.124267 2.217278 4.380227 8.498960 15.913482 30.130898
2025-04-20 0.502551 1.083561 2.214263 4.528300 9.078860 17.520047 34.180016
2025-04-27 0.481145 1.078852 2.283909 4.833814 10.010552 19.901752 39.986598
2025-05-04 0.440509 1.027597 2.254177 4.938183 10.564009 21.636115 44.765810
2025-05-11 0.399737 0.969409 2.201861 4.988572 11.014264 23.219239 49.426557
2025-05-18 0.349663 0.881824 2.074239 4.860561 11.075910 24.031471 52.623154
2025-05-25 0.299320 0.784857 1.911388 4.630938 10.886838 24.300927 54.713102
2025-06-01 0.272690 0.741122 1.863289 4.654342 11.257629 25.786083 59.541786
2025-06-08 0.240622 0.678166 1.760805 4.535860 11.289623 26.538677 62.849862
2025-06-15 0.233054 0.678062 1.810733 4.791257 12.225701 29.392838 71.150798
2025-06-22 0.220552 0.662542 1.819899 4.946530 12.939519 31.814505 78.710374
2025-06-29 0.202258 0.627767 1.774661 4.957050 13.298198 33.447507 84.594729
2025-07-06 0.174721 0.561510 1.636603 4.705690 12.965305 33.401943 86.465577